
STRATEGIC RISK
Appetite:
NSI pursues focus and growth (in defined locations) with a well-defined portfolio strategy by applying clear acquisition and divestment criteria. Within
the framework, NSI is prepared to take risk inherent in the chosen strategy in a responsible way and in line with the interests of its stakeholders.
Risk category Description of risk Mitigating measure
Assessment
Impact Probability
Macro-economic
environment
Executive responsible:
CEO
The wider macro-economic and geo-political landscape
and outlook has structural and cyclical implications for
overall business activity in the country. Real estate is a
cyclical industry that is impacted by these changes in
business activity, potentially impacting tenant demand
and investment demand.
In turn this may impact property valuations and so our
balance sheet. It may also impact our occupancy rates
and thereby also our earnings and cashflow position.
A structural or temporary imbalance between global
supply and demand dynamics at the macro level in
general could result in high levels of inflation, with a
possible impact on revenues and level of costs.
NSI invests only in the Netherlands, which historically
has been politically and economically stable, and within
the Netherlands NSI invests mostly in the G4 cities
(Amsterdam, Utrecht, Rotterdam and The Hague), Eind
-
hoven and Leiden (life sciences real estate). These cities
are seen as most robust in terms of economic outlook
and tenant demand and generally have the best levels
of transparency and liquidity in the transaction market.
Most of NSI's rental contracts include an indexation
clause. With respect to expenses NSI has fixed price
contracts for electricity and gas.
Below
average
High
Market value of
properties
Executive responsible:
CFO
The market value of properties is fundamental to a
capital intensive business as NSI, in particular in the
calculation of NAV. There is an inherent risk that the
properties in the portfolio are incorrectly valued, which
may result in a misstated equity position, misstated
indirect results, reputational damage and the potential
for claims due to false expectations being generated
among stakeholders.
In the markets in which NSI operates property yields are
lower as a result of which valuations have become more
sensitive to yield shifts.
Appraisals currently hardly reflect any transition costs
(sustainability capex) to Paris-proof. The risk is that this
will increasingly happen the coming years, which for
certain assets may lead to lower valuations.
The NSI property portfolio is externally appraised
twice a year (on 30 June and 31 December) in line with
the RICS valuation standards. NSI uses only a select
number of reputable valuers to appraise its assets.
NSI is focusing predominantly on high-quality proper
-
ties in the G4, Eindhoven and Leiden which are the most
liquid markets, so that relevant and up to date compa
-
rable transaction evidence generally exists.
NSI also ensures its internal asset data information is
up to date so that all the relevant data is available to
support the valuation process.
NSI uses an internal LTV target range of between 35%
- 40%, which is lower than the LTV debt covenant of
60%. This ensures that NSI has the capacity to absorb
sudden adverse movements in asset valuations.
For every asset in its portfolio NSI has calculated the
(financial) impact and has set a realistic timeline to stay
below the CRREM-pathway. This is incorporated in a
long term capex and maintenance plan. The effects
are also included in asset business plans and buy/hold
decisions as part of regular asset rotation.
In the underwriting of potential new property acquisi
-
tions, as part of the due diligence, NSI will perform an
impact analysis of costs and benefits to upgrade the
respective property to Paris proof.
Above
average
High
Change in tenant
demand
Executive responsible:
CEO
Our clients recognise that in addition to facilitating,
where appropriate, working from home, a high quality
and healthy workplace environment is key to attracting
and retaining talent. As a result, the focus is increasingly
on better locations, better services, more flexibility and
adherence to the highest ESG standards.
Working from home may also result in our clients selec
-
tively using less space overall.
Furthermore, continued urbanisation will see tenant
demand structurally concentrate in fewer locations.
Not being able to meet future tenant demand may result
in structurally high vacancy levels, resulting in lower
financial results and lower valuations of NSI's properties.
NSI is constantly evaluating whether its properties
continue to meet the need of (potential) clients and
whether changes are needed.
NSI is focusing on high-quality, larger, efficient and
sustainable properties in vibrant inner-city locations or
near transport hubs, mainly in the G4. We believe this
is where our potential customers want to be located
and can find the relevant talent to run their businesses
and where NSI, because of the multi-functional, vibrant
location and size of the properties is able to provide
relevant services on a profitable basis.
Below
average
Above
average
Cost of capital /
stock exchange
listing
Executive responsible:
CEO
Any listed company, in particular in real estate, is to a
certain extent dependent on its shareholders to provide
it with an attractive cost of capital. There is a risk that
elements of the business are deemed structurally unat
-
tractive or that any small cap discount might be appli-
cable resulting in a structurally high overall cost of
capital, which could impair the ability of the business to
be further developed.
NSI has a clear strategy focussed on long term value
creation for all stakeholders. NSI runs a focussed high
quality portfolio on a cost efficient basis that should result
in an attractive stable dividend. Furthermore NSI looks to
generate value by active asset management, interesting
acquisitions and by pursuing , value-add opportunities and
a pipeline of profitable (re-) development opportunities.
Furthermore, NSI follows an active Investor Relations
strategy and focuses to provide transparency to contribute
to an optimized cost of capital.
High High
38 NSI ANNUAL REPORT 2023
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