Annual Report 2023 EXECUTIVE REVIEW 2
EXECUTIVE REVIEW
STRONG RESULTS AS MARKETS NORMALISE
In 2023, Danske Commodities delivered strong results in
normalised energy markets, while growing its asset
portfolio and increasing its global market presence.
Following a turbulent 2022 dominated by the energy
supply crisis in Europe, energy prices and volatility
moved closer to pre-crisis levels in 2023. This normali-
sation was mainly driven by lower energy demand, high
gas storage levels and a mild European winter. Through-
out the year, price and volatility levels continued to de-
cline.
Under these market conditions, Danske Commodities de-
livered an adjusted EBT of EUR 359 million (IFRS EUR 453
million) and adjusted gross profit of EUR 308 million
(IFRS EUR 410 million), which is within the expectations
of EUR 200-600 million in EBT and EUR 300-700 million in
gross profit.
The delivered results underline that Danske Commodi-
ties has built a stronger and broader business in recent
years. During these years, the Group has increased its
global market presence and its portfolio of renewables
and flexible assets, and this growth continued in 2023.
RESTATEMENT OF PRIOR YEAR NUMBERS
The IFRS results are impacted by a restatement effect of
the 2022 results as explained in note 1.1.
The Group has previously assessed that gas flow capa-
cities could be net settled and the gas flow capacities
were accounted for at fair value. Going forward, gas
flow capacities are accounted for as executory con-
tracts. Comparative numbers for 2022 have been re-
stated accordingly. Adjusted EBT remain unaffected.
RAMPING UP ON RENEWABLES AND FLEXIBLE ASSETS
In 2023, Danske Commodities grew its portfolio of re-
newables and flexible assets under contract by 20%,
from 10 GW in 2022 to 12 GW.
The energy supply crisis in 2022 made it evident that Eu-
rope must reduce its dependence on imported natural
gas and prioritise investments in renewable energy pro-
duction and flexibility to meet future energy demands.
With that in mind, Danske Commodities’ increased com-
mitments to wind and solar assets as well as signing its
first battery storage asset in the UK were among some
of the highlights of the year. With the onboarding of the
UK battery storage asset, the Group’s portfolio of flexi-
ble assets has now reached a size of 1.7 GW across Den-
mark, Sweden, Norway and the UK.
It was also a year when Danske Commodities’ collabo-
ration with its parent company Equinor once again re-
sulted in concrete and measurable progress within the
renewables space. Danske Commodities will risk man-
age the 800 MW asset portfolio from leading Brazilian
renewables developer Rio Energy, and the power pro-
duced by Polish onshore wind farm Wilko, both acquired
by Equinor in 2023.
To support its growing asset portfolio, Danske Commod-
ities invested in weather analysis infrastructure, algo-
rithmic trading setup, flexibility in power production,
the implementation of a new deal capture system in its
gas business and, not least, its people.
During the year, Danske Commodities grew the organi-
sation by 72 FTEs – an increase of 19% –and the Group
expects this growth to continue in the coming years.
EXPANDING THE GLOBAL FOOTPRINT
Danske Commodities has unlocked new opportunities
for its business model as a result of increasing market
liberalisation and green ambitions around the world. In
2023, the Group took another important step in its
global journey as it completed its first trades in the Bra-
zilian power market from its newly established office in
São Paulo.
2023 was also the year when Danske Commodities pre-
pared the company to enter the Japanese power market.
This market entry was completed in January 2024 from
Danske Commodities’ trading desk in Singapore.
With these market entries, Danske Commodities now has
activities on five continents, truly underlining its posi-
tion as a global energy trading company.
OUTLOOK: READY TO HANDLE THE COMPLEXITY OF TO-
MORROW
The market stabilisation in 2023 led to declining energy
prices and decreasing market volatility throughout the
year. The downward trend in prices and volatility is ex-
pected to continue even further in 2024. Navigating a
new normal for energy markets that is still being de-
fined, the Group expects gross profit to be in the range
of EUR 200-400 million and EBT to be in the range of EUR
150-350 million in 2024.
Looking further ahead, the Group expects the energy
landscape to grow greener, but also more complex, with
the build-out of renewable energy sources and the intro-
duction of new flexible technologies such as batteries
and power-to-X. The need for companies like Danske
Commodities to optimise energy markets and bring bal-
ance on a global scale will only increase in the coming
years. With the growth of the asset portfolio, global ex-
pansion and continuous investments in our trading and
technological setup, Danske Commodities is well-posi-
tioned to do our part in the energy transition.
THE GROUP’S MAIN ACTIVITY
Danske Commodities has built a successful business on
trading power and gas across borders. The Group’s tra-
ding activities cover time-delimited markets from for-
ward to day-ahead and intraday. Using comprehensive
data sets, analytical capabilities, automation and deep
market knowledge, Danske Commodities turns data into
knowledge and knowledge into business. Every day, the
Group uses its market expertise, broad market footprint
and 24-hour trading setup to support energy producers
and large-scale energy consumers through tailor-made
services for renewables producers, flexible assets and
energy suppliers.