
138
Strategy GovernanceSustainability Review by the Board of Directors Financials
Risk reporting
Risk reporting aims at the transparent, consistent, and
comprehensive communication of risk status in different
areas. As a result of risk reporting, the Company’s risk
profile can be compared with the defined risk appetite
and it can be concluded whether additional risk treat-
ment actions are needed.
Communication regarding the most important risk
issues takes place along the strategic planning and per-
formance management cycle.
Formal risk reporting is directed to the Business Unit
and Function management teams, the Neste Exec-
utive Committee, the Audit Committee and the Board
of Directors. The Corporate risk management team is
responsible for aggregating risk information for reporting
to different internal and external audiences.
Risks relating to Neste’s business
In the pursuit of its objectives and targets, Neste is
exposed to different risk factors that stem from the
external environment, internal decision making, operat-
ing processes and systems in use. The most significant
risk factors relate to the areas mentioned below. Any one
of the risks, either singly or in the aggregate, may have
a material adverse effect on Neste’s business, financial
condition, operating results and future prospects.
External risks – Economic conditions,
Geopolitics, Pandemic
Year 2022 was marked with slowing economic growth
and several crises - war in Ukraine, rising inflation and
exceptional price hikes in the energy market. Following
the war in Ukraine, major European refiners not con-
nected to the Druzhba pipeline shifted away from using
Russian crudes. This combined with the OPEC+ supply
control measures has strongly supported non-Russian
crude prices this year. Russia will likely curtail its crude
production upon the introduction of the G7 price cap
and the EU’s embargo on Russian oil trading. Especially
if the price cap is set at a too low level, additional cuts
to Russian crude oil production are expected. Mean-
while, China’s Covid policies and economic fundamen-
tals could cast uncertainties towards the other direction.
Oil refining margins in 2022 were impacted by a hike in
operating costs. This is due to a combination of overall
heightened oil supply risks, and the significant increase
in refineries’ utility costs. The latter was primarily driven
by skyrocketing natural gas prices in Europe caused by
Russia’s substantial reduction of natural gas exports to
Europe.
With an embargo on Russian oil products coming
into force in the EU in early February 2023, uncertain-
ties related to the oil product availability, subsequent
cost development for natural gas in Europe and macro-
economic developments impacting demand make the
exact direction for refining margins going forward diffi-
cult to predict.
The renewable fuel market in 2022 was also impacted
by the war in Ukraine, in two major ways. Firstly, by driv-
ing up prices for vegetable oils, and in turn other waste
and residue feedstocks, in the months after the start of
the war. Price levels have meanwhile declined substan-
tially from their peak in early summer. Secondly, through
driving up the cost of fossil transport fuels, which led a
few EU member states, including Finland and Sweden,
to freeze or even lower their biofuel blending obligations
in 2022 and the following years. However, the impact on
biofuel demand was overall limited, as demand contin-
ued to grow in many markets in the EU, North America
and around the world.
External risks – Environment
Neste’s strategic ambition is to be the global leader in
renewable and circular solutions. Growing pressure to
combat climate change and reduce greenhouse gas
emissions is therefore primarily a positive driver for
Neste’s business. However, political and societal focus
on the low-carbon transition and the energy sector’s
carbon footprint also create risks. Indirect economic
and political consequences of climate change may con-
tribute to the general uncertainty in the business envi-
ronment and hence have an adverse effect on Neste’s
business. In addition, changes in carbon emission trad-
ing schemes or similar initiatives on EU-, US- or individ-
ual Member State-level may have a significant effect on
Neste’s business.
External risks – Laws and regulation
Changing regulation presents both an opportunity and
a threat to Neste’s business. Neste’s refining operations
and products are subject to extensive regulation (incl.
environmental, health and safety, sustainability). General
regulatory requirements in areas like commodity trading
and data protection have also contributed to the formal-
ization of operating procedures.
Neste’s business units mainly benefit from increased
support for biofuels and renewable fuels (for example
requirements that relate to renewable content in diesel
and gasoline). However, changes in regulation especially
in the European Union and the United States also cre-
ate uncertainties as these may influence the speed at
which the demand for renewable products develops,
and new raw materials sources are brought into use. For
the renewable products, a significant source of uncer-
tainty is fragmented regulation around the acceptability
and use of waste and residue feedstock.
Risks relating to strategic choices
and strategy implementation
The majority of strategic risks relate to the viability of
strategic choices and risks in strategy implementation.
Opportunities and threats may arise from changes in the
competitive landscape or from internal decision making
and use of technology.
Neste’s competitive position in the selected key mar-
kets is good. Neste’s proprietary NEXBTL produc-
tion technology is a proven technology for producing
high-quality diesel from renewable raw materials. How-
ever, there is no assurance that this competitive posi-
tion will continue as new players enter the market, cur-
rent competitors develop their technologies or customer
preferences for clean mobility change. In addition to
the development of alternative feedstocks and produc-
tion technologies for liquid fuels, the evolution of engine
technologies and introduction of alternative powertrains
can be faster than expected.
Staying ahead of competition requires continuous
improvement, the ability to challenge current business
models and a strong focus on innovations such as new
production technology and feedstock platforms. In addi-
tion, Neste’s products and services must continuously
meet customer requirements relating e.g. to product
quality and sustainability. Evolving customer require-
ments together with more complex sourcing and logis-
tics networks and production methods increase the
exposure to quality risks that need to be managed well
in order to maintain the high-quality brand image. As
risk mitigation, Neste has implemented systematic qual-
ity management measures both in its own operations
and in partner networks.
Strong governance practices and the continued con-
tributions of Neste’s senior management, personnel and
partners are vital for the company’s success. Due to
fierce competition for talent, there is a risk that Neste
may not be able to recruit and retain the highly skilled
employees that are needed for strategy deployment and
successful operations in the future. There is also a risk
that Neste will not be able to build and manage strategic
partnerships that contribute to future success.
Neste Annual Report 2022 | Risk management