GRAND CITY PROPERTIES S.A.
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Notes to the consolidated financial statements
149
tate investments, resulting in lower demand for real estate and broad declines in real estate
valuations, among other effects. This could lead to an increased default on loan repayments,
which also could cause banks to increase their interest rates. An increase in interest rates could
adversely impact the group's business in a number of ways, including:
The discount and cap rates used to calculate the value of the Group’s properties recorded on
the Company’s balance sheet in accordance with International Accounting Standard (“IAS”) IAS
40 tends to increase in an environment of rising interest rates, which in turn could result in the
group Group’s properties having a lower fair value.
Although the group’s current debt structure primarily involves debt at fixed interest rates or,
where variable interest rates apply, is predominantly subject to interest rate hedging agree-
ments, the increase in interest rates may have a negative impact on the group’s ability to re-
finance existing debt or incur additional debt on favourable terms. Financial institutions such
as banks may also be subject to increased equity requirements and balance sheet regulations
resulting in restraints to lend out money to customers which could make it more difficult for
the group to obtain bank financing at desired terms. In general, rising interest rates (or market
expectations regarding future increases in interest rates) would make financing required by the
group for its acquisition, capital expenditure and/or other real estate activities more expensive,
which could reduce the group’s profits.
When negotiating financing agreements or extending such agreements, the group depends on
its ability to agree to terms and conditions that will provide for interest payments that will not
impair its profit targets, and for amortisation schedules that do not restrict its ability to pay
intended dividends. Further, the group may be unable to enter into hedging instruments that
may become necessary if variable interest rates are agreed upon or may only be able to do
so at significant costs. If the current environment in which high rates prevail will remain for a
prolonged period, the group’s financing costs, including costs for hedging instruments, may
increase, which would likely reduce the group’s profits.
The group
’s equity includes a material amount of perpetual notes. Such notes include in their
terms a reset of their respective interest rates every five years (reset date), starting from the first
call date, based on a specified margin plus a 5-year swap rate (reset rate). If a reset date falls in a
period of high interest rates it is likely that such notes will carry a materially higher interest going
forward, thereby reducing the profits available to shareholders. Furthermore, the Company gen-
erally aims to replace its perpetual notes issues on their first voluntary call date by a new issue. In
times of high market uncertainty, the rates that the Company would pay on a new issuance may
differ materially from the reset rate, it may therefore be uneconomical for the Company to call the
respective notes and issue new notes, as has been the case with its notes with the first call date
in January 2023, which may impact market expectations and the Company’s access to capital.
The willingness of purchasers to acquire real estate in an environment of rising interest rates
may be negatively affected, thereby restricting the group's ability to dispose of its properties on
favourable terms when desired. Most purchasers finance their acquisitions with lender provided
financing through mortgages and comparable security (in Germany so-called land charges).
Lack of availability of such financing at attractive rates therefore reduces demand for properties.
Any of the foregoing factors may have a material adverse effect on the group’s business, net
assets, financial condition, cash flows and results of operations.
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Climate related risks
The significant impact of human activity on ecosystems and the climate have become ap-
parent in recent years, with temperatures rising, severe weather events such as drought,
floods and wildfires occurring more frequently, changes in rainfall patterns and mean global
sea levels rising, as well as increased pressures on biodiversity, among others. As a result
climate risks have increased and environmental impacts have become more important in the
decision making of investors, lenders, regulators and consumers. As a result, the Company
does not only face changing physical climate risks but also transitional climate risks resulting
from changes in investor and consumer demand, from regulatory changes as well as from
other societal factors.
The Company faces several physical climate-related risks. As a result of changing climate pat-
terns severe weather events in the group’s regions become more likely, which may result in
more frequent flooding or other weather-related damages. The Company actively attempts to
identify these risks and implement measures to mitigate the impact of such risks to the Com-
pany, for example through insurance. However, it cannot be guaranteed that the Company cor-
rectly identifies all risks and therefore may under- or over insure against such risk. Furthermore,
increased occurrence of severe weather events will likely result in higher insurance premiums.
In addition, increased flood risk as well as increasing sea levels put increased stress on dikes,
levees and related infrastructure which will likely result in higher costs for such infrastructure
which in turn may lead to higher fees and taxes to fund the increased costs, particularly impact-
ing the group’s assets situated in regions affected by increased flood risk and/or rising sea lev-
els. While the above-mentioned insurance costs, taxes and fees can generally be passed on to
tenants through the service charges, in case of vacancies such costs are carried by the Company.
In addition to physical climate-related risks the Company also faces transitional risks. As a re-
sult of the more apparent impact of climate changes in recent years regulators have increased
their efforts to mitigate current as well es expected future impacts of climate change through
a wide range of regulations.
As part of its Climate Action Programme 2030, the German federal government has intro-
duced a fixed price for carbon dioxide emissions in the transport and real estate sectors as
from January 2021. The price per metric ton of carbon dioxide emitted as heating or fuel
emissions (CO
2
and CO
2
levy) was set at an initial price of euro 25.00 per metric ton of carbon
dioxide and will, based on the current regime, gradually increase to euro 45.00 per metric