
On a like-for-like basis, our Regeneration portfolio delivered stable
capital performance of -0.6% and a total return of 4.1% which we
view as a good result given construction cost inflation. The
inflationary pressures that we saw in the market during the year
have partly been mitigated with the progress that we have made
during the year.
ESG
The real estate industry has a critical role to play in protecting the
long-term sustainability of our planet and we are proud to have
continued to make progress with our ESG objectives which are
embedded within the business.
During the year, we published our Pathway to Net-Zero and our
emissions reduction targets have been validated by the SBTi as
consistent with a 1.5-degree future. Demonstrating our ESG progress,
we were pleased to have been awarded a ‘B’ rating by the CDP
(formerly Carbon Disclosure Project) for our management of climate
issues, up from a ‘C’ rating in the previous year. Our GRESB score
increased by 13% during the year and we achieved a Gold in the
EPRA Sustainability Best Practice Recommendations Awards. We
were one of only two companies that jumped from a Bronze to Gold
award in just one year.
All of the energy supplied to our common areas (malls and car parks)
is already carbon neutral and we have achieved our target of zero
waste to landfill by 2022. This year, we are planning to introduce a
further 125 EV charging stations across our portfolio, which will
significantly increase our EV charging capacity and our ability to
support customers to reduce their carbon footprint. We also continue
our partnership with The Trussell Trust, providing funds, space and
time to help support the important work that they do to reduce
hunger in the UK.
In line with our commitment to advance our ESG strategy, the
appointment of Dr Karen Miller to the Board will provide additional
knowledge and experience in relation to climate challenges together
with her wider commercial retail experience.
Market Backdrop and Outlook
Within the capital markets, we have seen an increase in liquidity. In
particular, the retail park sector benefited from a significant
increase in demand from a wider investor pool which has led to a
year of strong capital growth with year on year volumes doubling in
2021. The shopping centre market saw an improvement in liquidity
but less pronounced than retail parks. Nevertheless, shopping
centre valuations stabilised in the latter part of the year after a
prolonged period of material valuation decline.
With retail stores being open for the majority of the financial year,
UK in-store retail sales have recovered overall to pre Covid-19
levels according to ONS. By contrast, online sales reported by ONS
have fallen during the year due to the reopening of physical stores.
The recovery in retail sales has been supported by a UK consumer
who, for the majority of the year, has been in reasonable financial
shape. Low levels of unemployment with just 3.8% of people
searching for jobs in the three months to February 2022, record job
vacancies, wage growth, elevated savings ratios and a good year
for house prices, having increased by 14.3% in the year to March
2022, have all supported increased consumer spending. With retail
sales broadly back to pre COVID-19 levels, we have seen active
demand for space in the market and in the UK overall, vacancy
rates have fallen. In addition, there has been a significant decline in
CVAs and tenant administrations.
More recently, the tragic war in Ukraine has led to significant
inflationary pressure as a result of higher energy and commodity
costs with inflation in the UK rising to a 30-year high with prices
rising 7% in the 12 months to March 2022. This, coupled with the
Bank of England implementing monetary tightening at the same
time that the UK Government has adopted fiscal tightening, is clearly
resulting in a contraction of economic growth. On top of that, the
continuing large-scale lockdowns in China resulting in supply chain
disruption, are only adding to the economic challenges.
It is therefore likely that consumer disposable income will be
impacted in the year ahead. For retailers that means margins will
be lower as not all of their increased costs will be passed on to the
consumer. It is interesting to note that the pure-play online retailers
are, in particular, challenged by a high inflation environment given
their lower margins in the first place. In contrast, multi-channel
retailers are better placed to deal with rising costs by using their
physical store distribution network for click and collect.
For NewRiver, our portfolio, which is more focused on essential
goods and services, is the right place to be when consumers
prioritise necessity-based retail spend over discretionary spend
and so will provide us with insulation.
Our assets are located in the heart of their local communities, easily
accessible to our shoppers with low travel times which means they
spend less on fuel travelling to our assets compared to more
destination-led, discretionary spend assets. With our occupiers facing
rising costs, having affordable rents, which we do, is key to sustaining
rental cashflows particularly in periods of high inflation and contracting
economic growth. Moreover, next April our occupiers should receive
a significant reduction in their rateable values which we currently
estimate to be circa 30% on average across our portfolio.
One of the key drivers of our future success will be our capital
allocation decisions. Even though we have put ourselves in a
position of having surplus capital with our LTV now at 34%, some
6% below our guidance; we believe that in the near-term it is in our
shareholders interest to maintain headroom to our LTV guidance
given the increasingly uncertain macro-economic outlook. That
said, we do have ongoing disposals which will provide further
capital for redeployment which we will do in a highly disciplined
way and in accordance with our capital allocation policy.
In conclusion, our objectives have never been clearer – to own and
manage the most resilient retail portfolio in the UK that will deliver
stable income, capital growth and thus superior returns for our
shareholders. With a portfolio predominantly focused on essential
goods and services, a flexible balance sheet and our market
leading platform, we are well positioned to achieve this objective
and to deliver attractive long-term returns for our shareholders
whilst helping create thriving communities across the UK.
Allan Lockhart
Chief Executive
15 June 2022
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NEWRIVER REIT PLC ANNUAL REPORT AND ACCOUNTS 2022