The growth opportunity available in the UK Build-to-Rent
(“
BTR
”) sector is significant. While the market continues to
grow, the total number of BTR homes built in the UK remains
very modest. In a report on UK BTR published in September
2021
6
, JLL, a global commercial real estate and investment
management company, concluded that the sector has potential
to increase 10 times in size if it achieves equivalence with the
US market.
The British Property Federation in July 2023
7
reported that
the number of BTR homes in the UK, completed, under
construction or in planning, stood at 253,402 at 30 June 2023.
This represented an increase of 12% on 2022. Of these 253,402
BTR homes at 30 June 2023, around 35% (c.88,100) were built,
21% (c.53,500) were under construction, and 44% (c.111,800)
were in planning.
In addition, the report showed that the overwhelming number of
BTR homes built remains in urban rather than suburban settings
and are flatted rather than single-family homes, which is the
PRS REIT’s focus. The number of urban BTR homes in planning
stood at around 103,000 against around 9,200 suburban BTR
homes in planning. The report also showed that the UK single-
family rented housing sector is growing but that numbers are
small, with nearly c.28,000 homes at the end of June 2023, of
which c.9,600 were complete, c.9,100 units under construction
and c.9,200 in the planning pipeline.
The total number of rental properties in the UK has not
increased significantly since 2016 although demand for rental
accommodation continues to rise. According to Zoopla, a
leading UK aggregator of property listings, the ongoing chronic
imbalance between supply and demand has pushed rents
higher across all parts of the UK. It forecasts continued demand
and rental inflation into H2 2023
8
.
Landlords in the buy-to-let sector, still the largest provider of
rental properties in the UK, have been under greater pressures
and confidence is low according to the National Landlords
Association. Its Landlord Confidence Index in Q1 2023
9
showed
landlord confidence at -28 (the negative number indicating more
landlords are negative about the next twelve months than are
positive). It stated that the record proportion of landlords who
had increased rents in the last twelve months are doing so for
negative reasons, including the pipeline of regulatory changes
and in response to cost inflation and rising interest rates.
Private landlords have faced greater pressures since 2016 when
an extra 3% was added on stamp duty for additional home
purchases. This was followed by reform on mortgage interest
rate relief. Proposed rental reform measures in the Government’s
Renters (Reform) Bill have further added to pressures on private
landlords. These include the proposed abolition of fixed-term
tenancies and reform of the grounds for repossession. The
Government’s proposed change to increase the minimum
energy efficiency standard that a rental property must reach
before it can be legally let from EPC E to EPC C, and higher
interest rates give further cause for concern for private landlords,
although the minimum energy efficiency standard proposal was
subsequently dropped in September 2023.
According to the National Landlords Association
10
, even though
rental demand is high, the proportion of landlords looking to
reduce their portfolio over the next twelve months continues to
rise and landlords “planning to sell” are now at record highs,
with 30% planning to cut the size of their portfolios. Hamptons,
the property consultancy, reports that 140,000 landlords left the
sector last year and expects the run-rate of landlords leaving the
sector to be 100,000 per year for the next five years.
Challenges to home ownership have not eased, further fuelling
rental demand. Increased interest rates have created new
pressures for prospective homeowners wishing to purchase
their first home and for homeowners with mortgages due for
renewal. The median house price to income ratio, according
to the Office for National Statistics
11
is currently 8.16, and on
4 August 2023, the average interest rate on a two-year fixed
mortgage was 6.85% according to financial data provider,
Moneyfacts, with the average rate on a five-year fixed mortgage
at 6.35%. By comparison, the PRS REIT’s homes remain very
affordable. At 30 September 2023, the average household
income of a PRS REIT tenant was £51,000 (30 September
2022: £41,000) and the average rent was £934 per calendar
month (2022: £849), meaning that rent as a proportion of
household income was 22% (2022: 25%). We believe that it is
reasonable to assume this improvement reflects a combination
of wage inflation and the emergence of a wealthier cohort of
disenfranchised would-be home buyers.
In summary, it is clear that the market opportunity in BTR
remains significant and that the sector remains an important
means of fulfilling a social need and meeting demand for high-
quality, well-managed rental housing in the UK.
Private Rented Sector Reform
In June 2022, the Government published a policy paper,
which set out its long-term vision for the private rented sector.
Titled “A fairer private rented sector”
12
, it contained plans to
fundamentally reform the private rented sector in the country
and level up housing quality. Subsequently, in May 2023, the
Government introduced the Renters (Reform) Bill to Parliament.
The Bill is little changed from the 2022 policy paper, which
we reported on in June 2022. We are in favour of proposals
that support the rights of tenants to a decent home while also
supporting responsible landlords. As a professional landlord, the
PRS REIT is in the market for the long-term and does not view
the Bill as likely to impact adversely the Company’s operations.
6
Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), UK Build To Rent (BTR) Report, September 2021
7
British Property Federation, Build-to-Rent Report, Q2 2023
8
Zoopla Rental Market Report, June 2023
9
National Residential Landlords Association, Landlord Confidence Index (LCI) No.17: 2023 Q1
10
National Residential Landlords Association, Landlord Confidence Index (LCI) No.18: 2023 Q2
11
Office for National Statistics, Housing Purchase Affordability, UK: 2022
12
Department for Levelling Up, Housing & Communities, A Fairer Private Rented Sector, June 2022
MARKET DYNAMICS (Cont.)
19
The PRS REIT plc Annual Report & Financial Statements 2023
NOTES
HIGHLIGHTS
INDEPENDENT AUDITOR’S REPORT
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
STRATEGIC REPORT
CORPORATE GOVERNANCE